Mervue United vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
FIN
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 0
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
MON
9%
19%
72%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
4 - 1
MER
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
LIM
22%
24%
55%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
CAO
3 - 1
LON
78%
16%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LON
1 - 1
SAL
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FIN
1 - 2
LON
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LON
2 - 1
WAT
34%
26%
39%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
LON
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |