EMF Meruelo vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMF Meruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SDT
3 - 1
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 5
MER
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 1
MER
54%
24%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MER
2 - 2
TEX
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
REV
1 - 1
GAM
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
REV
3 - 1
SDT
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
REV
49%
25%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 1
REV
16%
24%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
REV
1 - 0
GIM
35%
27%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |