EMF Meruelo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMF Meruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
MER
79%
15%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
SIE
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
VEL
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
MER
19%
24%
58%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
RIN
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
BEZ
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
CAS
27%
26%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
BEZ
1 - 6
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
CAS
25%
26%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |