Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Yate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 3
MER
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
MER
1 - 1
HED
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
MER
2 - 0
SHB
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
HEM
1 - 2
MER
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2005 |
TBA
1 - 2
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Yate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
YAT
0 - 3
BAN
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
ROT
1 - 3
YAT
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
YAT
3 - 0
THA
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SWI
1 - 4
YAT
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
YAT
0 - 2
MAN
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |