Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
KIN
1 - 1
MER
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
RUG
0 - 2
MER
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
MER
1 - 0
GRA
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 2
MER
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
MER
0 - 2
HED
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
HAL
0 - 2
HIS
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
HIS
0 - 1
GLO
65%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
HIS
3 - 1
TIV
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SHB
1 - 3
HIS
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
HIS
2 - 1
HEM
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |