Merthyr Town vs Yate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TIV
2 - 2
MER
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MER
0 - 5
HAY
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
3 - 2
MER
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
HAY
3 - 0
MER
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
HAR
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Yate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
YAT
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BEA
0 - 4
YAT
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MET
1 - 0
YAT
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 2
YAT
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
YAT
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |