Merthyr Town vs Poole Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
KIN
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HEN
3 - 0
MER
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
WIM
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MER
5 - 1
TIV
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 3
MER
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BEA
1 - 1
POO
59%
21%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 1
POO
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
POO
2 - 3
DOR
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 4
POO
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
POO
4 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |