Merthyr Town vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
MER
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MER
4 - 2
TAU
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 1
HEN
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TAU
3 - 3
HEN
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HEN
1 - 4
WHI
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
HEN
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 3
HEN
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |