Merthyr Town vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
YAT
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MER
4 - 0
AFT
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
TAU
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 1
MER
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 4
MER
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
BID
0 - 2
CIR
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
CIR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CIR
1 - 1
STN
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 4
CIR
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
CIR
0 - 3
WEY
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |