Merstham vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MER
6 - 0
HAM
25%
23%
53%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 1
MER
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 1
KIN
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
MER
13%
19%
69%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LOW
1 - 5
MER
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 3
DUL
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
WIN
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
WOR
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
WIN
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |