Merstham vs Whitehawk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
FAV
2 - 2
MER
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 4
MAL
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 4
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
DUL
3 - 1
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
MER
4 - 2
RAM
35%
25%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Whitehawk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 0
WHI
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
3 - 0
WHI
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BIL
1 - 0
WHI
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SOH
1 - 7
WHI
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WHY
0 - 3
WHI
18%
20%
63%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |