Merstham vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 3
MAI
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 3
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
MER
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
LEA
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 4
MER
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WEA
2 - 2
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
WEA
5 - 2
KIN
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 1
WEA
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WEA
3 - 1
CHE
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 2
WEA
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |