Merstham vs Walton Casuals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
MER
2 - 4
MAI
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
GOD
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 0
MER
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 4
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Walton Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 2
DUL
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BOG
6 - 1
WAL
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 2
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GOD
0 - 2
WAL
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WAL
5 - 1
SIT
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +3 |