Non League Div One Isthmian South Round 24

Merstham vs Walton & Hersham analysis

Merstham Walton & Hersham
36 ELO 34
-1.8% Tilt -4.1%
10500º General ELO ranking 5540º
551º Country ELO ranking 177º
ELO win probability
40.7%
Merstham
24.6%
Draw
34.7%
Walton & Hersham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
Merstham
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.7%
Win probability
Walton & Hersham
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Merstham
+1%
+45%
Walton & Hersham

ELO progression

Merstham
Walton & Hersham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merstham
Merstham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2009
MER
Merstham
1 - 1
Cray Wanderers
CRA
31%
23%
45%
33 39 6 0
27 Dec. 2008
CHI
Chipstead
2 - 2
Merstham
MER
36%
24%
39%
34 24 10 -1
19 Dec. 2008
MER
Merstham
2 - 2
Whyteleafe
WHY
57%
22%
21%
34 28 6 0
09 Dec. 2008
MER
Merstham
0 - 1
Croydon Athletic
CRO
48%
23%
29%
35 33 2 -1
06 Dec. 2008
COR
Corinthian-Casuals
2 - 2
Merstham
MER
35%
24%
41%
35 23 12 0

Matches

Walton & Hersham
Walton & Hersham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2008
WAL
Walton & Hersham
0 - 0
Walton Casuals
WAL
69%
19%
12%
36 24 12 0
20 Dec. 2008
CRO
Crowborough Athletic
0 - 2
Walton & Hersham
WAL
20%
22%
58%
36 19 17 0
16 Dec. 2008
CHI
Chipstead
3 - 3
Walton & Hersham
WAL
31%
24%
45%
36 25 11 0
06 Dec. 2008
LEA
Leatherhead
0 - 2
Walton & Hersham
WAL
38%
26%
36%
35 30 5 +1
29 Nov. 2008
WAL
Walton & Hersham
3 - 3
Croydon Athletic
CRO
51%
24%
25%
35 31 4 0