Merstham vs Ramsgate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
SIT
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
5 - 1
MER
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
WAL
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 2
MER
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ramsgate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
RAM
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
RAM
0 - 0
WAL
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
RAM
0 - 1
COR
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 1
RAM
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
RAM
2 - 0
HYT
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |