Merstham vs Potters Bar Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
MER
0 - 4
FOL
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
MER
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
HAR
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MER
2 - 4
LEW
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
KIN
4 - 0
MER
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Potters Bar Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
POT
1 - 2
ENF
28%
23%
48%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
POT
1 - 2
KIN
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 2
POT
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CRA
4 - 0
POT
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
POT
4 - 2
BRI
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |