Merstham vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 2
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BIL
1 - 1
MER
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
LEI
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
NEE
2 - 2
LEI
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VCD
1 - 1
NEE
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 3
WIN
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NEE
0 - 3
HEN
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TON
3 - 3
NEE
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |