Conference Premier Isthmian Round 6

Merstham vs Kingstonian analysis

Merstham Kingstonian
37 ELO 26
-4.8% Tilt -6.6%
10350º General ELO ranking 10611º
539º Country ELO ranking 561º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Merstham
15.4%
Draw
9.9%
Kingstonian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Merstham
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10%
Win probability
Kingstonian
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Merstham
-8%
-2%
Kingstonian

ELO progression

Merstham
Kingstonian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merstham
Merstham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2019
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
3 - 1
Merstham
MER
66%
20%
14%
39 45 6 0
24 Aug. 2019
MER
Merstham
2 - 1
East Thurrock United FC
EAS
31%
24%
45%
37 41 4 +2
17 Aug. 2019
BRI
Brightlingsea Regent
0 - 0
Merstham
MER
39%
24%
37%
38 35 3 -1
13 Aug. 2019
COR
Corinthian-Casuals
0 - 1
Merstham
MER
25%
23%
51%
37 29 8 +1
10 Aug. 2019
MER
Merstham
1 - 2
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
57%
21%
22%
38 35 3 -1

Matches

Kingstonian
Kingstonian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2019
KIN
Kingstonian
0 - 3
Bishops Stortford
BIS
20%
21%
59%
26 39 13 0
24 Aug. 2019
HOR
AFC Hornchurch
3 - 0
Kingstonian
KIN
65%
20%
16%
27 37 10 -1
17 Aug. 2019
KIN
Kingstonian
3 - 3
Margate
MAR
30%
25%
46%
27 36 9 0
13 Aug. 2019
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
1 - 1
Kingstonian
KIN
54%
22%
24%
26 30 4 +1
10 Aug. 2019
KIN
Kingstonian
0 - 0
Cray Wanderers
CRA
20%
22%
59%
26 40 14 0