Merstham vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
MER
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
RAM
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
WAL
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
RED
0 - 3
MER
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
GUE
1 - 2
MER
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
WHI
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HAS
1 - 0
HER
26%
25%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
RED
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
BUR
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |