Merstham vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
LEA
2 - 1
MER
34%
25%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ATK
3 - 0
MER
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
KIN
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
DUL
1 - 2
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GOD
1 - 2
MER
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 3
CRA
23%
24%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
FOL
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
WAL
0 - 2
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
LEA
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |