Merstham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
TOO
2 - 4
MER
31%
23%
47%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
MER
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MER
1 - 4
HYT
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 2
MER
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
FAV
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
LEA
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
DUL
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TOO
1 - 1
CHI
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
RAM
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FAV
0 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |