Merstham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 4
WHI
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 2
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
GOD
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
MER
2 - 2
WAL
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
GOD
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 2
CHI
23%
23%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
COR
46%
24%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
COR
2 - 0
CHI
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |