Merstham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WOR
4 - 2
MER
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
WAL
3 - 1
MER
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
LEA
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 0
MER
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 2
MET
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 2
FLE
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATK
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 3
KIN
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |