Merstham vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
MET
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DUL
5 - 0
MER
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
NEE
1 - 1
MER
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
STA
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
MER
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 1
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
WOR
35%
23%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 2
CAN
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 3
FOL
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |