Merstham vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LEI
3 - 1
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
6 - 2
MER
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DUL
4 - 0
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
HEN
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 2
MET
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOG
5 - 0
CAN
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
0 - 2
CAN
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
DUL
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |