Mersin vs Bursaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ANK
1 - 2
MER
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
KAR
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 2
MER
47%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MER
2 - 3
ALT
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bursaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 0
KAY
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
AND
2 - 2
BUR
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 2
AND
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 2
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
GOM
1 - 3
BUR
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |