Merreikh El-Fasher vs El-Ahli Atbara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2019 |
ALH
3 - 0
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
AFA
0 - 0
MER
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
MER
3 - 0
ALR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
KHA
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
OBA
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
El-Ahli Atbara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
0 - 0
ELA
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
ELA
1 - 0
KHA
26%
29%
45%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
ELA
2 - 3
ALM
14%
23%
63%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ALA
7 - 1
ELA
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
ELA
2 - 0
HIL
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |