De Merino.s vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 5
DEM
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 7
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
DEM
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 0
CSW
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SVL
1 - 0
DEM
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 2
BRE
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CSW
1 - 4
SWI
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
EEM
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ZUI
4 - 2
SWI
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 3
VVZ
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |