Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura Normal Season Round 15

Venados FC vs Leones Negros analysis

Venados FC Leones Negros
63 ELO 65
-1.7% Tilt -9.9%
780º General ELO ranking 447º
24º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Venados FC
26.6%
Draw
29.9%
Leones Negros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
Venados FC
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.9%
Win probability
Leones Negros
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Venados FC
-11%
-5%
Leones Negros

ELO progression

Venados FC
Leones Negros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2021
DOR
Dorados
3 - 0
Venados FC
MER
63%
23%
15%
65 73 8 0
20 Oct. 2021
MER
Venados FC
3 - 1
Mineros de Zacatecas
ZAC
31%
26%
43%
64 70 6 +1
13 Oct. 2021
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
1 - 2
Venados FC
MER
46%
26%
28%
63 61 2 +1
06 Oct. 2021
MER
Venados FC
1 - 1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
ALE
46%
27%
27%
63 62 1 0
02 Oct. 2021
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 1
Venados FC
MER
59%
25%
16%
63 72 9 0

Matches

Leones Negros
Leones Negros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2021
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 0
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
54%
25%
21%
64 59 5 0
20 Oct. 2021
RYD
Raya2 Expansión
0 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
42%
28%
30%
64 63 1 0
15 Oct. 2021
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 2
Celaya
TOR
36%
28%
36%
64 69 5 0
07 Oct. 2021
SPT
Pumas Tabasco
1 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
39%
28%
33%
63 61 2 +1
01 Oct. 2021
UDG
Leones Negros
2 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
16%
23%
62%
62 76 14 +1