Apertura Ascenso MX Round 15

Venados FC vs Lobos BUAP analysis

Venados FC Lobos BUAP
65 ELO 69
-9.4% Tilt 2.8%
790º General ELO ranking 20785º
24º Country ELO ranking 144º
ELO win probability
41.7%
Venados FC
27.7%
Draw
30.6%
Lobos BUAP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
Venados FC
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.6%
Win probability
Lobos BUAP
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Venados FC
Lobos BUAP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2010
ORI
Orizaba
2 - 1
Venados FC
MER
39%
28%
33%
66 65 1 0
17 Oct. 2010
MER
Venados FC
2 - 1
Durango
DUR
46%
27%
27%
66 65 1 0
10 Oct. 2010
MER
Venados FC
0 - 1
Veracruz
VER
37%
27%
35%
66 69 3 0
03 Oct. 2010
DOR
Dorados
2 - 0
Venados FC
MER
46%
26%
28%
67 67 0 -1
26 Sep. 2010
MER
Venados FC
2 - 3
León
LEO
37%
28%
35%
67 70 3 0

Matches

Lobos BUAP
Lobos BUAP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2010
LOB
Lobos BUAP
4 - 0
Dorados
DOR
49%
26%
26%
67 67 0 0
17 Oct. 2010
LEO
León
3 - 1
Lobos BUAP
LOB
61%
22%
17%
68 71 3 -1
10 Oct. 2010
LOB
Lobos BUAP
0 - 1
Altamira
ALT
62%
22%
16%
68 61 7 0
03 Oct. 2010
GUE
Guerreros
1 - 0
Lobos BUAP
LOB
19%
27%
54%
69 54 15 -1
26 Sep. 2010
LOB
Lobos BUAP
2 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
71%
18%
11%
69 58 11 0