Venados FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VER
5 - 3
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
LAP
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 3
MER
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 1
UDG
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ALT
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
CAZ
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |