Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 3-4
Mérida CP vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
TER
3 - 2
MER
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
MER
0 - 1
CFC
36%
33%
30%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
RAY
3 - 0
MER
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ELD
2 - 0
MER
78%
16%
6%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
MER
1 - 1
LLE
35%
34%
31%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
BAR
0 - 0
RAY
38%
27%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
RAY
1 - 0
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
RAY
3 - 0
MER
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
GRA
1 - 3
RAY
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
RAY
3 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |