Mérida CP vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
OSA
0 - 0
MER
42%
30%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
MER
1 - 0
CDB
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
LEG
1 - 1
MER
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
MAL
4 - 3
MER
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
MER
0 - 0
REC
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
REC
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
CDO
1 - 2
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
SEV
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
COM
3 - 1
HER
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |