Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 0-1
AD Mérida vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 1
ASJ
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
MAD
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
AVI
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 1
MAD
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
MAD
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
UPL
2 - 0
HAR
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 0
UPL
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
UPL
2 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
UPL
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 2
UPL
22%
24%
53%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |