Merelinense vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 0
MER
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
UEQ
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GFC
0 - 0
MER
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
4 - 0
MER
55%
22%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TAI
0 - 1
VIZ
9%
20%
71%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIZ
3 - 1
ADO
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
OSL
0 - 0
VIZ
9%
21%
70%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VIZ
4 - 1
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
VIZ
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |