Merelinense vs Ribeirão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 1
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
MIR
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 0
MER
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
CAM
46%
24%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 1
VAR
28%
29%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
RIB
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 2
RIB
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |