Merelinense vs Mondinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
MER
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MER
4 - 0
ARO
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIZ
2 - 1
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
SMA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mondinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
ADO
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
MON
70%
16%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
ATA
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 1
MON
41%
21%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
CAM
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |