Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Serie A Round 4

Merelinense U19 vs Varzim U19 analysis

Merelinense U19 Varzim U19
34 ELO 40
-2.4% Tilt -4.2%
9807º General ELO ranking 7277º
244º Country ELO ranking 161º
ELO win probability
35%
Merelinense U19
22.4%
Draw
42.5%
Varzim U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
Merelinense U19
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
42.5%
Win probability
Varzim U19
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Merelinense U19
-72%
-38%
Varzim U19

ELO progression

Merelinense U19
Varzim U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merelinense U19
Merelinense U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
MOR
Moreirense U19
1 - 1
Merelinense U19
MER
9%
15%
76%
34 13 21 0
02 Sep. 2023
MER
Merelinense U19
5 - 0
Mondinense U19
MON
90%
8%
3%
34 7 27 0
26 Aug. 2023
FAF
Fafe U19
0 - 1
Merelinense U19
MER
6%
12%
82%
34 9 25 0
27 May. 2023
MER
Merelinense U19
3 - 1
Trofense U19
TRF
64%
19%
18%
33 27 6 +1
20 May. 2023
VIL
Vilaverdense U19
3 - 0
Merelinense U19
MER
62%
19%
19%
34 40 6 -1

Matches

Varzim U19
Varzim U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
VAR
Varzim U19
1 - 0
Vianense U19
VIA
88%
9%
4%
40 10 30 0
02 Sep. 2023
MOR
Moreirense U19
1 - 1
Varzim U19
VAR
8%
14%
78%
41 10 31 -1
26 Aug. 2023
VAR
Varzim U19
3 - 0
Bragança U19
BRA
89%
8%
3%
40 9 31 +1
29 Apr. 2023
VAR
Varzim U19
3 - 2
Chaves U19
CHA
32%
25%
43%
39 45 6 +1
22 Apr. 2023
LUS
 Lusitania FC U19
1 - 0
Varzim U19
VAR
59%
22%
20%
40 44 4 -1