Mercurio vs Mandiá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
36%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercurio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OBR
1 - 0
MER
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
0 - 2
OLI
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
MER
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
ONC
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
MER
66%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mandiá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
ASP
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAN
79%
12%
8%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 6
CAP
23%
20%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEB
3 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
EUM
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |