Mercurio vs Hercules SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
48.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+265%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercurio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OBR
2 - 0
MER
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SUE
3 - 1
MER
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 1
MER
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
PAS
60%
18%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
MER
33%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HER
4 - 2
SUE
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UCA
3 - 3
HER
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 3
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
POR
3 - 1
HER
38%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
LAR
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |