Mercurio de Iñas vs Carnoedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercurio de Iñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
3 - 3
MER
81%
12%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
JUV
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
ATL
51%
20%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 1
MER
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
MER
64%
17%
19%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carnoedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 0
ATL
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 2
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
PAS
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |