Mercer vs VMI Keydets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 0
MEB
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ETS
0 - 0
MEB
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MEB
1 - 0
FPD
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
MEB
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MEB
3 - 1
WFT
67%
17%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
VMI Keydets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VMI
0 - 5
BBR
6%
13%
80%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNC
7 - 0
VMI
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WFT
8 - 1
VMI
86%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VMI
2 - 3
WFT
9%
15%
75%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ETS
7 - 0
VMI
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |