Mercadal vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
69.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
CDS
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SRF
1 - 2
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BNS
3 - 2
MER
60%
22%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MER
0 - 5
PBL
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
SDF
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SDF
2 - 1
ZAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAD
1 - 1
SDF
55%
27%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SDF
1 - 3
SAB
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLO
0 - 0
SDF
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |