Tercera RFEF XI - Islas Baleares. Jor. 27

Mercadal vs Manacor analysis

Mercadal Manacor
32 ELO 35
-8.1% Tilt -22.5%
9142º General ELO ranking 6999º
382º Country ELO ranking 235º
ELO win probability
31%
Mercadal
24.5%
Draw
44.5%
Manacor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Mercadal
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.5%
Win probability
Manacor
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mercadal
+6%
-21%
Manacor

Points and table prediction

Mercadal
Their league position
Manacor
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
12º
10º
62
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Ibiza
87
87
100%
Mallorca B
74
74
0%
Poblense
74
74
0%
Platges de Calvià
63
63
100%
Manacor
62
62
100%
Santanyi
56
56
100%
Constància
53
53
100%
UE Alcudia
49
49
100%
Llosetense
49
49
100%
Mercadal
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Binissalem
11º
43
43
11º
100%
SD Portmany
12º
42
42
12º
100%
UD Collerense
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Felanitx
14º
35
35
14º
100%
CE Alaior
15º
31
31
15º
100%
UD Arenal
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Soller
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Inter Manacor
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mercadal
Manacor
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mercadal
Manacor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mercadal
Mercadal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2024
ALA
CE Alaior
0 - 0
Mercadal
MER
34%
25%
41%
29 21 8 0
16 Mar. 2024
MER
Mercadal
2 - 1
SD Portmany
POR
51%
23%
25%
28 26 2 +1
10 Mar. 2024
MLL
Mallorca B
3 - 0
Mercadal
MER
76%
16%
8%
28 43 15 0
01 Mar. 2024
MER
Mercadal
1 - 0
Poblense
PBL
17%
22%
61%
26 43 17 +2
24 Feb. 2024
CON
Constància
1 - 0
Mercadal
MER
59%
22%
18%
26 32 6 0

Matches

Manacor
Manacor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
MNC
Manacor
2 - 0
Felanitx
FLN
83%
12%
6%
36 20 16 0
16 Mar. 2024
CFP
Platges de Calvià
3 - 0
Manacor
MNC
38%
29%
34%
37 37 0 -1
09 Mar. 2024
MNC
Manacor
3 - 2
Llosetense
LLO
58%
21%
22%
36 33 3 +1
01 Mar. 2024
ALC
UE Alcudia
2 - 0
Manacor
MNC
26%
24%
50%
38 28 10 -2
24 Feb. 2024
MNC
Manacor
8 - 2
Soller
SLL
87%
9%
3%
38 15 23 0
X