Mercadal vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
SOL
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MNC
2 - 1
MER
68%
19%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MER
0 - 2
SNF
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SOL
2 - 1
FER
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FER
1 - 2
SNF
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PBL
2 - 0
FER
45%
26%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FER
0 - 2
MLL
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ALA
1 - 0
FER
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |