Merani Tbilisi III vs Saburtalo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
80.5%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saburtalo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
TBI
1 - 2
SAT
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
SAT
5 - 1
KOL
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 0
SAT
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SAT
0 - 0
ZES
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
SAT
3 - 0
FCM
73%
17%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |