Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-8
CD Mensajero vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
CDM
2 - 1
RAF
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
CDM
1 - 1
SDT
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
CDP
2 - 1
CDM
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SDT
0 - 1
CDM
60%
23%
18%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CDM
1 - 0
LLA
69%
20%
11%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
CDT
1 - 1
XER
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
CDT
4 - 0
LAG
86%
10%
5%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
OVI
3 - 0
CDT
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
LAG
1 - 2
CDT
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CDT
3 - 1
REC
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |