Mensajero Sub 19 vs San Fernando Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
16º
11º
34
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mensajero Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LGR
3 - 2
MEN
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MEN
1 - 1
ARU
24%
22%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SJO
1 - 2
MEN
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MEN
1 - 0
UDA
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Fernando Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PTO
1 - 4
SFE
54%
21%
26%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SFE
0 - 2
TNF
5%
13%
82%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ADH
1 - 0
SFE
71%
17%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
SFE
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SFE
0 - 0
LGR
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |