Switzerland Fourth Division Round 23

Mendrisio-Stabio vs Luzern II analysis

Mendrisio-Stabio Luzern II
38 ELO 39
-14.5% Tilt -11.4%
6226º General ELO ranking 3485º
81º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Mendrisio-Stabio
25.6%
Draw
34%
Luzern II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
Mendrisio-Stabio
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34%
Win probability
Luzern II
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mendrisio-Stabio
+22%
-31%
Luzern II

ELO progression

Mendrisio-Stabio
Luzern II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mendrisio-Stabio
Mendrisio-Stabio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2012
TUG
Tuggen
1 - 0
Mendrisio-Stabio
MEN
70%
18%
13%
40 47 7 0
14 Apr. 2012
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 2
Winterthur II
WIN
59%
23%
18%
41 31 10 -1
11 Apr. 2012
STG
St. Gallen II
2 - 0
Mendrisio-Stabio
MEN
47%
25%
29%
42 39 3 -1
31 Mar. 2012
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
23%
24%
53%
40 49 9 +2
24 Mar. 2012
FCB
FC Balzers
2 - 1
Mendrisio-Stabio
MEN
41%
25%
35%
41 34 7 -1

Matches

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2012
CHA
SC Cham
4 - 0
Luzern II
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
39 44 5 0
14 Apr. 2012
LUZ
Luzern II
2 - 4
Tuggen
TUG
40%
24%
36%
41 45 4 -2
04 Apr. 2012
WIN
Winterthur II
2 - 3
Luzern II
LUZ
31%
24%
45%
40 32 8 +1
31 Mar. 2012
LUZ
Luzern II
3 - 2
St. Gallen II
STG
47%
23%
30%
39 40 1 +1
25 Mar. 2012
SCH
Schaffhausen
3 - 0
Luzern II
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
40 48 8 -1