Regionalliga Bayern Round 11

Memmingen vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis

Memmingen SpVgg Ansbach
39 ELO 42
-6.9% Tilt 2.6%
3810º General ELO ranking 3507º
162º Country ELO ranking 148º
ELO win probability
23.2%
Memmingen
22.4%
Draw
54.5%
SpVgg Ansbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
Memmingen
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.5%
Win probability
SpVgg Ansbach
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Memmingen
+33%
+17%
SpVgg Ansbach

Points and table prediction

Memmingen
Their league position
SpVgg Ansbach
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
18º
18º
39
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Würzburger Kickers
82
82
100%
Vilzing
69
69
100%
Nürnberg II
61
61
100%
Aubstadt
58
58
100%
Illertissen
56
56
100%
Bayern München II
54
54
100%
FC Augsburg II
50
50
100%
Greuther Fürth II
49
49
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
48
48
100%
Türkgücü München
11º
45
47
10º
100%
Schweinfurt
10º
45
45
11º
100%
Bayreuth SpVgg
12º
42
42
12º
100%
SpVgg Ansbach
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Schalding-Heining
17º
30
30
16º
100%
Buchbach
16º
30
30
17º
100%
Memmingen
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Memmingen
SpVgg Ansbach
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Memmingen
SpVgg Ansbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Memmingen
Memmingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
AUB
Aubstadt
3 - 1
Memmingen
MEM
76%
16%
8%
38 53 15 0
08 Sep. 2023
MEM
Memmingen
1 - 4
Illertissen
ILL
17%
23%
61%
40 51 11 -2
01 Sep. 2023
BAY
Bayern München II
4 - 3
Memmingen
MEM
82%
13%
6%
40 58 18 0
29 Aug. 2023
MEM
Memmingen
0 - 2
FC Augsburg II
AUG
19%
22%
60%
41 49 8 -1
25 Aug. 2023
MEM
Memmingen
1 - 1
Schweinfurt
SCH
9%
16%
75%
40 54 14 +1

Matches

SpVgg Ansbach
SpVgg Ansbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 3
Vilzing
VIL
29%
23%
48%
45 52 7 0
09 Sep. 2023
SCH
Schalding-Heining
5 - 0
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
24%
23%
53%
46 41 5 -1
02 Sep. 2023
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
2 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
34%
23%
43%
46 51 5 0
29 Aug. 2023
NUR
Nürnberg II
3 - 0
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
45%
23%
33%
47 47 0 -1
25 Aug. 2023
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
0 - 1
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
20%
22%
59%
47 61 14 0